Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 74.21%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 9.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.