Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.