Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 32

Mar 28, 2025 at 7pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
3 - 0
Jong Utrecht

Sanches Fernandes (41'), Duijvestijn (47', 74')
Hatenboer (24')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Jong FC Utrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: FC Eindhoven 1-2 Excelsior
Friday, March 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Jong FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Emmen 2-0 Jong Utrecht
Friday, March 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 84.11%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 5.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 4-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.97%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for SBV Excelsior in this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
84.11% ( -0.05)	10.61% ( 0.03)	5.28% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 46.81% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.88% (

-0.06)

28.12% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.11% (

-0.07)

48.89% (

0.07)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.26% (

-0.02)

4.74% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.81% (

-0.05)

19.19% (

0.05)

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.14% (

0.02)

50.86% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.75% (

0.01)

85.24% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 84.1%

Jong FC Utrecht 5.28%

Draw 10.61%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
3-0 @ 11.39% 2-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.7% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.98% Total : 84.1%	1-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 10.61%	1-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 5.28%