Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 70.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 12.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Emmen in this match.