Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.