Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 35

Apr 18, 2025 at 7pm UK

De Geusselt

MVV
5 - 0
Jong Utrecht

Braken (3', 26', 76'), Kleinen (23'), El Basri (90')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Edhart (40')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong FC Utrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions

Last Game: Jong PSV 3-2 MVV
Monday, April 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Jong FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Cambuur 3-1 Jong Utrecht
Sunday, April 13 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
61.15% ( -0.35)	20.19% ( 0.14)	18.65% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 58.89% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.89% (

-0.32)

37.11% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.69% (

-0.34)

59.3% (

0.34)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.25% (

-0.19)

11.74% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.1% (

-0.41)

36.89% (

0.41)

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.73% (

0.03)

33.27% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.11% (

0.03)

69.88% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 61.15%

Jong FC Utrecht 18.65%

Draw 20.19%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.29% Total : 61.15%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.19%	1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 18.65%