Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 34

Apr 14, 2025 at 7pm UK

Sportcomplex De Herdgang

Jong PSV
3 - 2
MVV

Younis (9'), Bajraktarevic (81'), Thomas (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Smeets (29'), El Basri (90+4')
Buifrahi (39'), Coomans (52'), Esajas (79')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong PSV and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong PSV

All competitions

Last Game: Jong AZ 2-2 Jong PSV
Monday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

MVV Maastricht

All competitions

Last Game: MVV 1-2 Excelsior
Friday, April 4 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong PSV would win this match.

Result
Jong PSV	Draw	MVV Maastricht
43.78% ( 1.05)	22.56% ( 0.04)	33.65% ( -1.1)

Both teams to score 66.17% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.56% (

-0.57)

34.43% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.64% (

-0.64)

56.35% (

0.64)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.63% (

0.17)

16.37% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54% (

0.32)

45.99% (

-0.32)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.12% (

-0.83)

20.88% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.41% (

-1.31)

53.58% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

Jong PSV 43.78%

MVV Maastricht 33.65%

Draw 22.56%

Jong PSV	Draw	MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.08) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 43.78%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.56%	1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.83% Total : 33.65%