Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 59.2%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 20.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.75%) and 3-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.