Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 69.88%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.