Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | 1st Round | 2nd Leg
May 17, 2025 at 7pm UK
Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadion
De Graafschap

Dordrecht
2 - 0
De Graafschap

FT
Coverage of the Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs 1st Round clash between Dordrecht and De Graafschap.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dordrecht

All competitions
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: De Graafschap 0-0 Dordrecht
Tuesday, May 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

De Graafschap

All competitions
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: De Graafschap 0-0 Dordrecht
Tuesday, May 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.

Result
DordrechtDrawDe Graafschap
47.22% (-0.98800000000001 -0.99)22.46% (0.268 0.27)30.31% (0.71 0.71)
Both teams to score 64.9% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.58% (-0.899 -0.9)35.42% (0.889 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.54% (-1.002 -1)57.45% (0.991 0.99)
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (-0.68299999999999 -0.68)15.48% (0.674 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.64% (-1.282 -1.28)44.36% (1.272 1.27)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)23.21% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)57.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Dordrecht 47.22%
    De Graafschap 30.32%
    Draw 22.46%
DordrechtDrawDe Graafschap
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.092 -0.09)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 47.22%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.205 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.59% (0.158 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.02% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.147 0.15)
0-1 @ 5.25% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.166 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.081 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.32%

Head to Head
May 13, 2025 8pm
1st Round 1st Leg
De Graafschap
0-0
Dordrecht
Jan 31, 2025 7pm
Gameweek 24
Dordrecht
1-1
De Graafschap
Zandbergen (14')
Seydoux (29'), Fernando Slory (90+4')
Van de Haar (37' pen.)
Warmerdam (48'), Fortes (90+2')
Nov 1, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 13
De Graafschap
4-1
Dordrecht
Van Gilst (8', 33'), Mahi (84' pen.), Brittijn (90+3')
Seuntjens (68')
Van Vianen (30')
M'Bemba (90')
Apr 5, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 33
Dordrecht
2-1
De Graafschap
Sebaoui (8'), Suray (54')
Mbayo (32'), Segecic (84')
Seuntjens (12')
Warmerdam (69'), Brittijn (87')
Dec 4, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 15
De Graafschap
1-1
Dordrecht
Onal (49')
Warmerdam (22'), Buttner (30')
Sebaoui (18')
Bronkhorst (43'), Receveur (64'), 't Zand (86')