De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 35
Apr 19, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadion De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
2 - 0
Jong Ajax

Cooper Love (2'), Warmerdam (5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 1-0 De Graafschap
Friday, April 11 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-1 Vitesse
Monday, April 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 75.54%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 10.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 3-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for De Graafschap in this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawJong Ajax
75.54% (0.277 0.28)14.26% (0.014000000000001 0.01)10.2% (-0.286 -0.29)
Both teams to score 58.21% (-1.318 -1.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.69% (-1.026 -1.03)27.31% (1.03 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.12% (-1.303 -1.3)47.88% (1.307 1.31)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.97% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)6.03% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.03% (-0.489 -0.49)22.97% (0.494 0.49)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95% (-1.286 -1.29)38.05% (1.289 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18% (-1.265 -1.27)74.82% (1.271 1.27)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 75.54%
    Jong Ajax 10.2%
    Draw 14.26%
De GraafschapDrawJong Ajax
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.381 0.38)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 8.47% (0.272 0.27)
3-1 @ 8.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.45% (0.336 0.34)
4-0 @ 5.95% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 5.75% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.151 -0.15)
5-0 @ 3.34% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 3.23% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.78% (-0.136 -0.14)
6-0 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 1.56% (-0.094 -0.09)
6-1 @ 1.51% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 5.02%
Total : 75.54%
1-1 @ 6.23% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-0 @ 2.3% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 14.26%
1-2 @ 3.01% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-1 @ 2.22% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 10.2%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 18
Jong Ajax
2-0
De Graafschap
Rasmussen (12'), Bounida (90+7')
Mar 11, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 31
De Graafschap
0-2
Jong Ajax
Banel (62'), Chourak (90+8')
Agougil (32'), Banel (74'), Chahid (90+7')
Aug 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Jong Ajax
1-2
De Graafschap
Hlynsson (79')
Martha (63')
Onal (6'), Flakus Bosilj (59')
Onal (35'), Lammers (41'), Hillen (44'), Warmerdam (80'), Wevers (90+6')
Jan 13, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 20
De Graafschap
3-0
Jong Ajax
Benschop (26', 83'), Haen (90+2')
Aug 22, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
Jong Ajax
5-1
De Graafschap
Hansen (9', 44'), Misehouy (70'), Rasmussen (73'), Lucca (80')
Warmerdam (3')
Neghli (42')
Schenk (23')