Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.72%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
Helmond Sport	Draw	De Graafschap
36.73% ( 0.02)	23.45% ( -0.03)	39.81% ( -0)

Both teams to score 63.49% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.79% (

0.13)

38.21% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.51% (

0.13)

60.48% (

-0.14)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.95% (

0.06)

21.04% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.16% (

0.1)

53.84% (

-0.11)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.42% (

0.05)

19.58% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.49% (

0.09)

51.5% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Helmond Sport 36.73%

De Graafschap 39.81%

Draw 23.45%

Helmond Sport	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.73%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 39.81%