VVV-Venlo
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 34
Apr 13, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
Covebo Stadion - De Koel

VVV-Venlo
4 - 1
Helmond

Sierra (41'), van Zijl (70'), Foor (80'), Kromah (89')
Gyamfi (43'), Ketting (74'), Braem (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sits (90')
Frodi Ingason (16')
Absalem (49')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between VVV-Venlo and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

VVV-Venlo

All competitions
Last Game: Oss 2-1 VVV-Venlo
Friday, April 4 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Helmond Sport

All competitions
Last Game: Helmond 2-2 Telstar
Saturday, April 5 at 3.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.

Result
VVV-VenloDrawHelmond Sport
43.41% (0.122 0.12)25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)31.6% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 56.5% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (-0.125 -0.13)46.75% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (-0.117 -0.12)69.01% (0.11699999999999 0.12)
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (0.0049999999999955 0)21.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)54.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)27.99% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (-0.193 -0.19)63.63% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    VVV-Venlo 43.41%
    Helmond Sport 31.6%
    Draw 24.99%
VVV-VenloDrawHelmond Sport
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 43.41%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.6%

How you voted: VVV-Venlo vs Helmond

VVV-Venlo
41.7%
Draw
50.0%
Helmond Sport
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 4
Helmond
3-0
VVV-Venlo
Daneels (27'), Van den Hurk (71'), Scholz (90+1')
Ostrc (30'), van Hove (53')

Janssen (26'), Jansson (39')
Mar 1, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 28
Helmond
1-1
VVV-Venlo
Schroyen (63')
Schroyen (51'), Ludwig (64')
Verheijen (32')
Rutten (60')
Oct 1, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 8
VVV-Venlo
0-4
Helmond

Kaastrup (45+3')
Botos (8'), Lorentzen (48'), Schroyen (63'), Kaars (64')
Amuzu (45+1'), Schroyen (45+3'), Lorentzen (52'), van Vlerken (67')
May 5, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 36
Helmond
1-1
VVV-Venlo
Arias (75')
Braken (68')
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 19
VVV-Venlo
1-1
Helmond
Venema (31')
Van Vlerken (69')
rhs 2.0


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