Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 36

Apr 28, 2025 at 7pm UK

Sportpark De Toekomst

Jong Ajax
1 - 0
Helmond

Janse (85')
Thomas Willem Verkuijl (15'), (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Van den Eynden (30')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: De Graafschap 2-0 Jong Ajax
Saturday, April 19 at 8pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Helmond Sport

All competitions

Last Game: Helmond 1-1 Cambuur
Friday, April 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong Ajax	Draw	Helmond Sport
41.47% ( -0.09)	24.27% ( 0.05)	34.25% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 59.97% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.38% (

-0.25)

42.62% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.98% (

-0.25)

65.02% (

0.25)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3% (

-0.14)

20.69% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.7% (

-0.23)

53.29% (

0.23)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62% (

-0.1)

24.38% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.21% (

-0.14)

58.79% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Jong Ajax 41.47%

Helmond Sport 34.25%

Draw 24.27%

Jong Ajax	Draw	Helmond Sport
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 41.47%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.27%	1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.25%