Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 29
Apr 21, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
2 - 1
Gdansk

Luquinhas (45+2'), Ziolkowski (90+5')
Oyedele (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kapic (30')
Khlan (22'), Olsson (53')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Lechia Gdansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gdansk 3-2 Stal Mielec
Monday, April 14 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 55.25%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 22.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Legia Warsaw in this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawLechia Gdansk
55.25% (0.012999999999998 0.01)22.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.39% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.4% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.11% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.29%
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)15.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.42% (0.009999999999998 0.01)43.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.06% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)68.94% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 55.25%
    Lechia Gdansk 22.39%
    Draw 22.35%
Legia WarsawDrawLechia Gdansk
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 2.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.25%
1-1 @ 10.41%
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 22.39%

Head to Head
Oct 18, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Gdansk
0-2
Legia

Pllana (19')
Morishita (58'), Chodyna (63')
Urbanski (39'), Morishita (41')
rhs 2.0


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