UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Apr 17, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
1 - 2
Legia

(Chelsea win 4-2 on aggregate)

Cucurella (33')
Jorgensen (9'), Badiashile (48')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pekhart (10' pen.), Kapuadi (53')

Reaction

Chelsea head coach Enzo Maresca in April 2025.

Chelsea 1-2 Legia Warsaw: Enzo Maresca frustrated by "very easy" chances being missed despite Conference League progress

Chelsea head coach Enzo Maresca admits that his Blues attack need to start converting their "very easy" chances in the final third if they wish to end the season on a high.

Apr 18, 08:16

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Ipswich
Sunday, April 13 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Legia Warsaw

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Legia 0-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, April 13 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 71.21%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 11.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Legia Warsaw win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Legia Warsaw
71.21% ( -0.62)	17.04% ( 0.38)	11.75% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 52.48% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.05% (

-1.23)

36.95% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.86% (

-1.35)

59.13% (

1.34)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.82% (

-0.46)

9.18% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.89% (

-1.1)

31.11% (

1.09)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.78% (

-0.43)

42.21% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.38% (

-0.37)

78.62% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 71.21%

Legia Warsaw 11.75%

Draw 17.04%

Chelsea	Draw	Legia Warsaw
2-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 1% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.38% Total : 71.21%	1-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.04%	1-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.35% Total : 11.75%