Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 71.21%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 11.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Legia Warsaw win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.