Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for York City had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
| 38.46% ( | 25.4% ( | 36.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( | 47.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( | 69.77% ( |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% ( | 24.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.25% ( | 58.75% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( | 25.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.48% ( | 60.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.46% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 1-4 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 36.13% |