National League | Gameweek 25

Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Northern Gas and Power Stadium

Hartlepool
2 - 1
Oldham

Waterfall (39'), Gomez Mancini (53')
Gomez Mancini (63'), Smith (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lundstram (20')
Gardner (26'), Monthe (38'), Stones (41'), Clucas (87')

Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 4-3 Hartlepool
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Braintree 0-2 Oldham
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Oldham Athletic
40.35% ( 0.02)	27.77% ( -0.01)	31.88% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.86% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.11% (

0.02)

57.89% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.4% (

0.02)

78.6% (

-0.01)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.9% (

0.02)

28.1% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.23% (

0.02)

63.77% (

-0.02)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.57% (

33.43% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.94% (

70.06% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 40.35%

Oldham Athletic 31.88%

Draw 27.76%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Oldham Athletic
1-0 @ 11.92% 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 40.35%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.76%	0-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.88%