National League | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Gateshead International Stadium

Gateshead
4 - 3
Hartlepool

Newton (19', 61'), Worman (33'), Oseni (87')
Grayson (83'), Whelan (90+3'), Newton (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Grey (35'), Madine (85', 90+1')
Sheron (27'), Grey (37')

Coverage of the National League clash between Gateshead and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-4 Gateshead
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Yeovil
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 58.7%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (5.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
Gateshead	Draw	Hartlepool United
58.7% ( -0.97)	20.57% ( 0.47)	20.74% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 61.29% (

-0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.34% (

-1.53)

35.65% (

1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.28% (

-1.71)

57.71% (

1.71)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.03% (

-0.74)

11.97% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.63% (

-1.59)

37.37% (

1.59)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.62% (

-0.44)

30.38% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.42% (

-0.52)

66.57% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Gateshead 58.7%

Hartlepool United 20.74%

Draw 20.57%

Gateshead	Draw	Hartlepool United
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.48% Total : 58.7%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.57%	1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 20.74%