Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Rochdale |
| 49.55% ( | 22.95% ( | 27.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.29% ( | 39.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.93% ( | 62.06% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.75% ( | 16.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.22% ( | 45.78% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.79% ( | 27.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.38% ( | 62.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Rochdale |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 5-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 49.55% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 27.5% |