National League | Gameweek 15

Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
0 - 1
Gateshead

Vaz (38'), Harris (78'), Barbrook (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hannant (53' pen.)
Newton (61'), Oseni (88'), Hannant (90+3'), Booty (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Sutton United and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Sutton 1-3 Oldham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Gateshead

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Altrincham 2-2 Gateshead
Saturday, October 19 at 3.05pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Gateshead
31.78% ( -0.49)	23.83% ( 0.13)	44.39% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 60.64% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.65% (

-0.79)

41.35% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.25% (

-0.81)

63.75% (

0.81)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

-0.68)

25.23% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.02% (

-0.94)

59.98% (

0.95)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.11% (

-0.16)

18.89% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.63% (

-0.28)

50.37% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 31.78%

Gateshead 44.39%

Draw 23.83%

Sutton United	Draw	Gateshead
2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.78%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.83%	1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.39% Total : 44.39%