Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Sutton United |
| 37.51% ( | 24.4% ( | 38.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.18% ( | 42.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.77% ( | 65.23% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( | 22.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.62% ( | 56.38% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( | 22.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.06% ( | 55.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Sutton United |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 2-0 @ 5.59% ( 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.51% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 3-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.09% |