Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 17
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Spotland Stadium
Sutton United

Rochdale
2 - 1
Sutton

East (22'), Rodney (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vaz (29')
Harris (45+6')
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 37.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawSutton United
37.51% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)24.4% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)38.09% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.96% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.18% (0.13 0.13)42.82% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.77% (0.128 0.13)65.23% (-0.125 -0.13)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (0.045000000000002 0.05)22.72% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.62% (0.064999999999998 0.06)56.38% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (0.087000000000003 0.09)22.42% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06% (0.129 0.13)55.94% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 37.51%
    Sutton United 38.09%
    Draw 24.4%
RochdaleDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 37.51%
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.09% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.21% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 38.09%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Rochdale
4-1
Sutton
Rodney (8', 56'), Brierley (25'), Keohane (50')
Wilson (38')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Sutton
1-0
Rochdale
Randall (38')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sutton
3-0
Rochdale
Boldewijn (12', 45+2'), Kizzi (57')
Milsom (78')

O'Connell (22'), Dorsett (41')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Rochdale
3-2
Sutton
Newby (23'), Kelly (66'), Morley (90+5')
Olaofe (82'), Smith (90')
Bennett (45+2')