National League | Gameweek 22

Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
3 - 2
Wealdstone

Stones (44', 46'), Fondop (79')
Ogle (56')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Obiero (4'), Kretzschmar (29')
Wells-Morrison (45+1'), Cook (67')

Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Wealdstone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-1 Oldham
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Wealdstone

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Wealdstone 3-3 Altrincham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Wealdstone
48.81% ( -0.04)	24.28% ( 0.02)	26.91% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.86% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.78% (

-0.04)

46.22% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.49% (

-0.04)

68.51% (

0.04)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.99% (

-0.03)

19.01% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.43% (

-0.06)

50.57% (

0.06)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98% (

31.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.66% (

67.34%

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 48.81%

Wealdstone 26.91%

Draw 24.27%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Wealdstone
1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 48.81%	1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.27%	0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 26.91%