National League | Gameweek 15

Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

St. George's Stadium

Wealdstone
3 - 2
Braintree

Ashford (10', 67'), Reid (54')
Eastmond (73'), Georgiou (75')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Annesley (13'), Powell (16')
Francis (20'), Fyfield (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Wealdstone and Braintree Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Wealdstone 0-3 Yeovil
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Braintree Town

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Braintree
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.

Result
Wealdstone	Draw	Braintree Town
54.01% ( 0.59)	23.42% ( -0.19)	22.57% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 54.06% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.57% (

0.39)

46.43% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.29% (

0.37)

68.71% (

-0.37)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9% (

0.36)

17.11% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.69% (

0.63)

47.31% (

-0.63)

Braintree Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22% (

-0.14)

34.78% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.49% (

-0.15)

71.52% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Wealdstone 54%

Braintree Town 22.57%

Draw 23.42%

Wealdstone	Draw	Braintree Town
1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.86% Total : 54%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.42%	0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.57%