National League | Gameweek 23

Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK

Dwight Yorke Stadium

York City
3 - 0
Southend

Akinyemi (64'), Howe (68'), Ajiboye (76')
Hunt (18'), Pearce (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Scott-Morriss (35'), Taylor (74'), Bridge (81')

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: Tamworth 1-1 York City
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 0-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York City	Draw	Southend United
41.35% ( 0.03)	25.49% ( -0.01)	33.16% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 55.4% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.58% (

0.03)

48.42% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.44% (

0.02)

70.56% (

-0.02)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.75% (

0.03)

23.25% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.83% (

0.04)

57.17% (

-0.04)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18% (

-0)

27.81% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.59% (

-0.01)

63.41% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

York City 41.35%

Southend United 33.16%

Draw 25.49%

York City	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.35%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.16%