National League | Gameweek 22

Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Lamb Ground

Tamworth
1 - 1
York City

Cullinane-Liburd (90')
Tonks (37'), Crompton (59'), Creaney (62'), Cullinane-Liburd (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pearce (17')
Aguiar (41'), Hunt (69'), Armstrong (79'), Akinyemi (82')

Coverage of the National League clash between Tamworth and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Tamworth (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

York City

All competitions

National League

Last Game: York City 6-2 Maidenhead
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for York City had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Tamworth	Draw	York City
40.97% ( 0.29)	25.39% ( -0)	33.63% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 55.87% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.12% (

-0.06)

47.88% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.94% (

-0.05)

70.06% (

0.05)

Tamworth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8% (

0.12)

23.2% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.9% (

0.17)

57.1% (

-0.17)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.74% (

-0.21)

27.25% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.32% (

-0.27)

62.68% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Tamworth 40.97%

York City 33.63%

Draw 25.38%

Tamworth	Draw	York City
1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.97%	1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 33.63%