Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | York City |
| 36.77% ( | 24.11% ( | 39.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.57% ( | 41.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.17% ( | 63.83% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( | 22.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( | 56.02% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( | 21.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.77% ( | 54.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | York City |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 2-0 @ 5.33% ( 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 4-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.77% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 39.12% |