Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.