National League | Gameweek 16

Oct 26, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
0 - 5
Altrincham

Massey (20'), Davis (72'), Long (79'), Mitchell (84')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Linney (5', 10', 41'), Newby (54'), Osborne (80')
Banks (86'), Kosylo (90+4')

Coverage of the National League clash between Fylde and Altrincham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Boston 1-2 Fylde
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Altrincham

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Altrincham 1-1 Hartlepool
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.

Result
Fylde	Draw	Altrincham
34.63% ( 0.41)	24.15% ( 0.13)	41.21% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 60.5% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.03% (

-0.55)

41.96% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.63% (

-0.55)

64.37% (

0.55)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.13% (

-0.03)

23.86% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.94% (

-0.03)

58.05% (

0.03)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46% (

-0.48)

20.53% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.95% (

-0.77)

53.04% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Fylde 34.63%

Altrincham 41.21%

Draw 24.15%

Fylde	Draw	Altrincham
2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.63%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.15%	1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.88% Total : 41.21%