National League | Gameweek 25

Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

Dwight Yorke Stadium

York City
1 - 0
Gateshead

Armstrong (22')
Aguiar (45'), Fagan-Walcott (76'), Hunt (79'), Felix (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hannant (87'), Booty (90+2')

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Gateshead.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: York City 3-0 Southend
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 4-3 Hartlepool
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York City	Draw	Gateshead
45.16% ( -0.05)	23.73% ( -0.02)	31.11% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 60.66% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.82% (

0.15)

41.18% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.42% (

0.15)

63.57% (

-0.15)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.49% (

0.04)

18.5% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.28% (

0.07)

49.72% (

-0.07)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.43% (

0.12)

25.56% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.57% (

0.16)

60.43% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

York City 45.16%

Gateshead 31.11%

Draw 23.73%

York City	Draw	Gateshead
2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 45.16%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.73%	1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.11%