National League | Gameweek 28

Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Dwight Yorke Stadium

York City
1 - 2
Sutton

Akinyemi (83')
Akinyemi (34'), Stones (43'), King (90+6'), Sinclair (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Davies (15', 24')
Woodyard (50'), French (62'), Coley (90+3'), Simper (90+9')

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: York City 1-0 Gateshead
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 2-2 Wealdstone
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 19.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
York City	Draw	Sutton United
58.19% ( 0.11)	22.3% ( -0.02)	19.51% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 53.16% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.58% (

-0.03)

45.41% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.25% (

-0.02)

67.75% (

0.03)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.69% (

0.03)

15.31% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.96% (

0.05)

44.04% (

-0.05)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.77% (

-0.11)

37.23% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.98% (

-0.11)

74.02% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

York City 58.17%

Sutton United 19.51%

Draw 22.29%

York City	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 58.17%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.29%	0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 19.51%