National League | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Chigwell Construction Stadium

Dag & Red
1 - 0
Ebbsfleet

Umerah (87' pen.)
Hill (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Manktelow (32'), Carr (85')
Passley (90+3')

Coverage of the National League clash between Dagenham & Redbridge and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions

Last Game: Dag & Red 1-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 1-2 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.

Result
Dagenham & Redbridge	Draw	Ebbsfleet
56.2% ( 0.26)	22.2% ( -0.19)	21.6% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 56.8% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.84% (

0.79)

42.15% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.44% (

0.78)

64.56% (

-0.78)

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.16% (

0.35)

14.84% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.84% (

0.67)

43.16% (

-0.67)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.7% (

0.38)

33.3% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.09% (

0.42)

69.91% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Dagenham & Redbridge 56.2%

Ebbsfleet 21.6%

Draw 22.19%

Dagenham & Redbridge	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 56.2%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.19%	1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 21.6%