National League | Gameweek 42

Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
4 - 1
Sutton

Carr (45+2', 45+2'), Olagunju (51', 51'), Cosgrove (69', 69', 78', 78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Simper (53', 53')
Topalloj (50'), Ransom (61')

Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 3-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Sutton United
19.04% ( -0.48)	23.03% ( -0.19)	57.93% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 50.06% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.86% (

0.15)

49.14% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.79% (

0.13)

71.21% (

-0.13)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.09% (

-0.44)

39.91% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.43% (

-0.41)

76.57% (

0.41)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.31% (

0.29)

16.69% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.43% (

0.52)

46.57% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 19.04%

Sutton United 57.91%

Draw 23.03%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 19.04%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.03%	0-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.67% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.37% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.85% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.62% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 57.91%