National League | Gameweek 26

Mar 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
1 - 2
Sutton

Mitchell (16')
Massey (79'), Whelan (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barbrook (86'), Davies (88' pen.)
Davies (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Fylde and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-0 Fylde
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 0-3 Halifax
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Fylde	Draw	Sutton United
28.89% ( 0.44)	24.16% ( -0.08)	46.94% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 57.81% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.65% (

0.63)

44.35% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.27% (

0.61)

66.72% (

-0.61)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.39% (

0.63)

28.61% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.59% (

0.79)

64.41% (

-0.79)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.97% (

0.1)

19.03% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.4% (

0.17)

50.6% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Fylde 28.89%

Sutton United 46.95%

Draw 24.16%

Fylde	Draw	Sutton United
2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.89%	1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 5.19% 0-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.25% Total : 46.95%