National League | Gameweek 30

Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
2 - 1
Sutton

McCann (30'), Doidge (36')
Tozer (13'), Knowles (24'), (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Davies (57')
Odelusi (69'), Boateng (90')

Coverage of the National League clash between Forest Green Rovers and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: York City 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 0-1 Sutton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Sutton United
46.95% ( 0.02)	25.79% ( -0.02)	27.26% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.35% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.73% (

0.08)

52.27% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.03% (

0.07)

73.96% (

-0.07)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75% (

0.04)

22.25% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.31% (

0.07)

55.69% (

-0.07)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05% (

0.04)

33.95% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.38% (

0.04)

70.62% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 46.95%

Sutton United 27.26%

Draw 25.79%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.95%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.26%