Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 47.42% ( | 26% ( | 26.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.48% ( | 53.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.97% ( | 75.03% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( | 22.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.84% ( | 56.15% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( | 35.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.08% ( | 71.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 4-0 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 3% Total : 47.42% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 2-2 @ 4.8% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.57% |