National League | Gameweek 33

Feb 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The Hive Stadium

Barnet
3 - 1
York City

Olowu (17'), Ndlovu (51'), Hartigan (57')
Felix (79'), Glover (85'), Kenlock (90+2'), Tavares (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fagan-Walcott (90+1')
Nathaniel-George (33'), Nathaniel-George (33'), Kanu (45+2')

Coverage of the National League clash between Barnet and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions

Last Game: Barnet 3-1 Solihull
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

York City

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-2 York City
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for York City had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a York City win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Barnet	Draw	York City
62.65% ( 1.87)	20.25% ( -0.68)	17.09% ( -1.19)

Both teams to score 55.46% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.88% (

1.09)

40.12% (

-1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.51% (

1.12)

62.48% (

-1.12)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.75% (

0.87)

12.24% (

-0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.04% (

1.81)

37.95% (

-1.81)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.19% (

-0.7)

36.8% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.4% (

-0.71)

73.59% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Barnet 62.65%

York City 17.09%

Draw 20.25%

Barnet	Draw	York City
2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.74% Total : 62.65%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.25%	1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.38% Total : 17.09%