Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | York City |
| 32.95% ( | 25.15% ( | 41.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53% ( | 47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% ( | 69.24% ( |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% ( | 27.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.32% ( | 62.68% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( | 22.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.14% ( | 55.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 4-1 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 3% Total : 32.95% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0-2 @ 6.84% ( 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.9% |