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National League | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Jakemans Stadium

Boston
3 - 1
York City

Teale (28'), Knowles (67'), Hazel (86')
Maguire (16'), Gale (65'), Teale (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sinclair (7')
John (62'), John-Lewis (83')
Coverage of the National League clash between Boston United and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tamworth 3-0 Boston
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 0-2 York City
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Boston UnitedDrawYork City
32.95% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)25.15% (-0.012 -0.01)41.9% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.48% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (0.042000000000002 0.04)47% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)69.24% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)27.25% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)62.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63% (0.040999999999997 0.04)22.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (0.061 0.06)55.86% (-0.058 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Boston United 32.95%
    York City 41.9%
    Draw 25.15%
Boston UnitedDrawYork City
1-0 @ 7.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.95%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.41% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 41.9%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
York City
0-2
Boston

Batty (90+1')
Hazel (69'), Ward (87')
Osborne (35'), Woods (77')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
York City
0-1
Boston
Elliott (38')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Boston
2-1
York City
Elliott (10' pen.), Byrne (83' pen.)
Woods (17')
May 3, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
York City
P-P
Boston
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Boston
P-P
York City