National League | Gameweek 28

Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Lamb Ground

Tamworth
3 - 0
Boston

Ryan McGlinchey (17', 37'), Milnes (66')
Milnes (23')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Leak (1'), Gallagher (81')

Coverage of the National League clash between Tamworth and Boston United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Tamworth 0-3 Spurs
Sunday, January 12 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Boston United

All competitions

Last Game: Boston 2-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 25.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
Tamworth	Draw	Boston United
47.99% ( 1.51)	26.43% ( -0.1)	25.58% ( -1.41)

Both teams to score 48.14% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.2% (

-0.5)

55.8% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.08% (

-0.41)

76.93% (

0.42)

Tamworth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.72% (

0.49)

23.28% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.79% (

0.71)

57.21% (

-0.7)

Boston United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.75% (

-1.46)

37.25% (

1.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.96% (

-1.47)

74.04% (

1.48)

Score Analysis

Tamworth 47.99%

Boston United 25.58%

Draw 26.43%

Tamworth	Draw	Boston United
1-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.99%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.73% Total : 25.58%