National League | Gameweek 21

Dec 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Spotland Stadium

Rochdale
3 - 0
Tamworth

Gilmour (73'), Gordon (80'), Rodney (87')
Barlow (59'), East (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tonks (68'), Crompton (70')
Cullinane-Liburd (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Rochdale and Tamworth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Dag & Red 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Tamworth

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Tamworth 1-1 York City
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Tamworth
53.64% ( -0.32)	23.27% ( 0.44)	23.08% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 55.21% (

-1.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.78% (

-2.1)

45.22% (

2.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.44% (

-2.04)

67.56% (

2.04)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.2% (

-0.86)

16.79% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.24% (

-1.57)

46.76% (

1.56)

Tamworth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.35% (

-1.27)

33.65% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.7% (

-1.41)

70.3% (

1.41)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 53.64%

Tamworth 23.08%

Draw 23.27%

Rochdale	Draw	Tamworth
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.1% Total : 53.64%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.27%	0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 23.08%