Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Tamworth win it was 1-2 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.