Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 32.17% ( | 27.16% ( | 40.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.46% ( | 55.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.29% ( | 76.71% ( |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( | 32.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.52% ( | 68.48% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( | 26.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% | 62.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.17% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 2-2 @ 4.82% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.67% |