National League | Gameweek 32

Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
0 - 2
York City

Passley (8'), Olagunju (29'), Stewart (49'), Edser (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pearce (65' pen., 76')
Sinclair (75')

Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 0-0 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

York City

All competitions

Last Game: York City 3-0 Woking
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	York City
17.15% ( 0.14)	21.73% ( 0.11)	61.12% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 50.63% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.41% (

-0.25)

46.58% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.14% (

-0.23)

68.85% (

0.23)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.39% (

0.03)

40.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.79% (

0.02)

77.2% (

-0.02)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.25% (

-0.16)

14.75% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.02% (

-0.31)

42.98% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 17.15%

York City 61.12%

Draw 21.73%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	York City
1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 17.15%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.73%	0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.97% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 61.12%