Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 12.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 3-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-2 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barnet in this match.