National League | Gameweek 26

Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

York Road

Maidenhead
1 - 3
York City

Abrahams (63')
Smith (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pearce (42', 90+4'), Stones (90+6')
Fagan-Walcott (11'), Watson (50')

Coverage of the National League clash between Maidenhead United and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidenhead United

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 0-2 Yeovil
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

York City

All competitions

Last Game: York City 2-2 Halifax
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
Maidenhead United	Draw	York City
26.23% ( 0.58)	24.57% ( 0.71)	49.2% ( -1.29)

Both teams to score 54.34% (

-1.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.05% (

-2.61)

47.95% (

2.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.87% (

-2.45)

70.13% (

2.45)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.53% (

-0.93)

32.47% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31% (

-1.06)

69% (

1.06)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.47% (

-1.52)

19.53% (

1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.57% (

-2.55)

51.43% (

2.55)

Score Analysis

Maidenhead United 26.23%

York City 49.2%

Draw 24.57%

Maidenhead United	Draw	York City
1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.57% Total : 26.23%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.26) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.2%