Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Fylde |
| 47.34% ( | 24.97% ( | 27.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% ( | 48.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( | 70.77% ( |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( | 20.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.86% ( | 53.13% ( |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.28% ( | 31.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.86% ( | 68.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 4-2 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.33% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 27.68% |