Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
AFC Fylde
National League | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium
Rochdale

Fylde
1 - 3
Rochdale

Massey (5')
Mitchell (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mitchell (18'), Gilmour (56', 64')
Coverage of the National League clash between Fylde and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Solihull 4-1 Fylde
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 3-0 Tamworth
Tuesday, December 17 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
FyldeDrawRochdale
29.65% (-0.354 -0.35)23.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)46.64% (0.354 0.35)
Both teams to score 59.91% (-0.224 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)41.79% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)64.2% (0.201 0.2)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.331 -0.33)26.8% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.44 -0.44)62.09% (0.44 0.44)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85% (0.063999999999993 0.06)18.14% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.88% (0.109 0.11)49.11% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Fylde 29.65%
    Rochdale 46.65%
    Draw 23.69%
FyldeDrawRochdale
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.22% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.65%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.31% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.03% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.26% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 46.65%

Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round Qualifying
Fylde
1-4
Rochdale
Roberts (87')
Mitchell (55', 77', 82'), Barlow (85')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Fylde
2-0
Rochdale
Ormerod (58', 62')

Ebanks-Landell (60'), Gilmour (90+12')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Rochdale
2-0
Fylde
Henderson (45'), Oduroh (90+5')
Sinclair (86'), John (90+4')
Sinclair (90+5')

Barrett (36')
rhs 2.0


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