Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Rochdale |
| 29.65% ( | 23.7% ( | 46.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.2% ( | 41.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.8% ( | 64.2% ( |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( | 26.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% ( | 62.09% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.85% ( | 18.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.88% ( | 49.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Rochdale |
| 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 2-0 @ 4.22% ( 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.65% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 3-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0-3 @ 4.03% ( 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0-4 @ 1.72% ( 2-4 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 3.63% Total : 46.65% |