Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Fylde win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Fylde |
| 51.6% ( | 24.62% ( | 23.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.76% ( | 50.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% ( | 72.19% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.54% ( | 19.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.69% ( | 51.3% ( |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% ( | 35.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.43% ( | 72.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Fylde |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 2-0 @ 9.33% ( 3-1 @ 5.23% 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 23.77% |