National League | Gameweek 18

Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
1 - 0
Maidenhead

Barbrook (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Latty-Fairweather (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Sutton United and Maidenhead United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Sutton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Maidenhead United

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Maidenhead 1-4 Forest Green
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Maidenhead United
39.27% ( 0.07)	24.94% ( -0.01)	35.79% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 57.88% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.54% (

0.03)

45.46% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.21% (

0.03)

67.79% (

-0.03)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.01% (

0.05)

22.99% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.21% (

0.07)

56.78% (

-0.06)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.16% (

-0.02)

24.84% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.56% (

-0.02)

59.44% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 39.27%

Maidenhead United 35.79%

Draw 24.94%

Sutton United	Draw	Maidenhead United
2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.27%	1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94%	1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.79%