National League | Gameweek 19

Dec 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
2 - 0
Ebbsfleet

Jolley (56'), Ustabasi (71')
Winterbottom (6'), Jolley (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Souare (17'), Cordner (52'), Edser (75'), Davies (79')

Coverage of the National League clash between Fylde and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 2-0 Fylde
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-0 Boston
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.

Result
Fylde	Draw	Ebbsfleet
46.18% ( 1.64)	23.57% ( -0.24)	30.25% ( -1.4)

Both teams to score 60.77% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.17% (

0.46)

40.83% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.78% (

0.47)

63.22% (

-0.47)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.05% (

0.85)

17.95% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.21% (

1.44)

48.79% (

-1.44)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07% (

-0.65)

25.93% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07% (

-0.88)

60.93% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Fylde 46.18%

Ebbsfleet 30.25%

Draw 23.57%

Fylde	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.18%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.57%	1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.25%