Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 42.11% ( | 25.18% ( | 32.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.84% ( | 47.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.6% ( | 69.4% ( |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( | 22.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( | 55.82% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( | 27.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.03% ( | 62.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 1-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.72% |